The mock drafts continue to have quarterback Kyler Murray out of Oklahoma as the consensus number one pick overall, and every one of these mock drafts have based it on the fit with Cardinals new Head Coach Kliff Kingsbury but not one says he is the clear cut best player in this years draft.
Most GM’s believe that drafting should be based on a team drafting the best talent on the board, and never for team need or fit. When a team takes a player number one overall they are declaring that player the best player in the entire draft, and the closet thing to a sure super star at the next level.
Drafting for need and fit has plagued the Arizona Cardinals in past drafts, which resulted in the leaving of better talent on the board that turned out to have very successful careers in the NFL.
Two guys that come to mind the Cardinals passed on are running back Adrian Peterson, and linebacker Terrell Suggs, two guys that were clearly better than who they chose in previous drafts, in fact two guys that will for sure be Hall-of-Famers when their done playing.
Lets be brutally honest, the draft in essence is and always will be a crap shoot making nothing a guarantee, but getting the closest thing to a sure thing as possible is the goal. After weighing the options, a quarterback will always be the biggest risk unless you are 100% sure its the next Peyton Manning.
Kyler Murray is a good prospect but not the next sure super star quarterback, because if he were, then he would have been deemed the best player in the entire draft at seasons end. But coming out of college he was not even the best quarterback prospect amongst this years group. So for a team that needs instant and drastic improvement it wouldn’t make sense to risk another first round pick on another top franchise quarterback prospect in back-to back drafts.
There’re are way to many things that have to be perfect for a quarterback to be successful, just ask Cardinals current signal caller Josh Rosen. In contrast, a pass rusher or interior defender only has one objective and that’s to beat the guy in front of him every game, which he has done all of his playing career from high school to college.
So why would the Cardinals waste the opportunity to choose the closet sure thing in the draft like Nick Bosa or Quinton Williams which could help in year one right away, and risk it all on a 5’10 quarterback that may leave questions about his durability to make it through a brutal 16 game NFL season.
My point is no matter what the round is or no matter what needs you have on the team you never draft according to need or fit because you leave the next big super star on the board every time.
Steve Keim has zero room to make decisions based on the hype, this team can be instantly better with Bosa or Williams in the mix with everything else they have done in free agency along with Josh Rosen with a year of experience under his belt, just makes more sense to me.